13 September 2016

Things an investor should know before taking the plunge

We present here in this series some investment fundamentals. But even before investing, we want to make it clear to the investor (the reader of this blog) that one must, first and foremost understand and analyze the basic need as to why one should invest. A few words ...
It has been noticed since time immemorial that there has been a constant tug of war between the creditors and the debtors or to be more precise, between those who borrow and those who lend. However, there always have been governments in order for people to have faith in currency and the governments have always been big spenders and therefore borrowers and in order to set right their money machine, all governments, eventually end up inflating their currency. The borrowers have always won and  lenders (mostly people who save their money and tuck it in bank for safety) have lost. In spite if the compounded bank interest rates, the inflation and devaluation of currency is a lot ahead in the curve from the  lagging interest rates; inflation eating up your deposit's purchasing power. 
Here is where the need for investment comes in.
Most people confuse investments with windfall profits and multi-bagger kind of expectations. An investor who gets trapped in such money making dreams has always lost.
Before investing, the first and foremost idea should be that the instrument you have parked your money will beat inflation and devaluation- i.e. it will beat the loss in purchasing power of your money.
The second and equally important thing that an investor ought to remember is that he should invest only the amount of money that he earns which is surplus to his requirement, i.e. the money that after spending the whole month, is left over- inspite of his best efforts to blow it. 
We stress on spending money as we strictly believe that money doesn't have much of a store value - the value of money always has and always deteriorate. By the term value we exclusively mean the purchase value and the purchase value of money in present has and will always be more than its value in future.
The money that one invests, must therefore be the money that is surplus to one's requirement.
It may also be kept in mind that the money one has for investment must not be out of one's emergency fund. In other words, before earmarking the money for investment, one ought to have an emergency or contingency fund of one's own which is roughly approximated for an average man to be around one and a half years of his income. 
So before investing, one should have a reserve worth one's eighteen month income which should be parked in the form of bank fixed deposits (FD) with the maturity period of 13 months (in India; elsewhere one may check the minimum period with max interest rate). The amount of each FD should be 10,000/- only or better 5000/-. The FD's should be so placed that they get auto renewed on maturity.
More in the next post.
                                                                                                                           .... to be continued

DisclaimerThe writers of this column do not personally hold any stock or position in the F&O market and do not intend to benefit in any way by publishing this column. The final discretion is that of the reader and we disown any responsibility for any loss incurred by the reader.

11 September 2016

Indian Markets for the week September 12 2016 to September 16 2016

It may be kept in mind that the Indian Stock markets will remain closed on September 13 2016. 
The resistance for the benchmark index Nifty is at 8930 and then at 8979 and 9005. The support is at 8836 and then at 8706 and 8547. The Nifty is expected to remain bullish if it conquers the resistance of 8930 and it might turn bearish if it breaches the support of 8836.
The markets are however, expected to be weak with bears in full command for a while.
The day traders may go long of the Nifty trades above 8890 for a target of 8925. They may short the index if it trades below 8880 to cover at 8845.
The short term traders may continue to ride their longs in Nifty and more in case of weakness with stop loss at 8836.

The mid term investors may consider buying Ambuja Cements at 269.65 and 266.05, Indusind Bank at 1189.35- all in small quantities.

DisclaimerThe writers of this column do not personally hold any stock or position in the F&O market and do not intend to benefit in any way by publishing this column. The final discretion is that of the reader and we disown any responsibility for any loss incurred by the reader.

08 September 2016

Tips on stock picks and trading strategies for September 9 2016

As we had indicated in our weekly post, the bulls are not lost. The immediate support for the benchmark index is at 8930. The immediate resistance is at 8950.
The day traders may go long in the Nifty if it trades above 8950 for a target of 8975/ 9000. They may short the Nifty if it trades below 8930 to cover at 8915.
The short term traders may consider going long in Ambuja cement with stop loss at 275 for a target of 282.35 and Hindalco with stop loss at 157 for a target of 165.25. They may continue to ride Nifty and add further long positions at around 8900 levels with stop loss at 8830.
The mid term investors may consider offering L & T at 1574.75 and Lupin at 1651.15.
DisclaimerThe writers of this column do not personally hold any stock or position in the F&O market and do not intend to benefit in any way by publishing this column. The final discretion is that of the reader and we disown any responsibility for any loss incurred by the reader.

07 September 2016

Tips on stock picks and trading strategies for September 8 2016

A bout of profit booking brought the Nifty down but the bulls are not lost as yet as our immediate support as indicated in our previous post of 8916 was not breached on closing basis. However the opening in the next session will be a broad indicator as the benchmark index will continue to be bullish intra-day if it trades above 8950. It will continue to be in consolidation mode if it trades in the range 8835 to 8950. If it doesn't tank below 8835 then the key stocks as well as the Nifty may be bought .
The day traders may go long if the index trades above 8950 with a possible target of 8985. They may short the Nifty if it trades below 8920 to cover at 8800.
The short term traders may ride their longs in Nifty and add further positions in it and raise their trailing stop loss to 8854.
The mid term investors may consider selling the loss making shares in their portfolio. They may e mail us on their stock holdings for the offer rates.
DisclaimerThe writers of this column do not personally hold any stock or position in the F&O market and do not intend to benefit in any way by publishing this column. The final discretion is that of the reader and we disown any responsibility for any loss incurred by the reader.

06 September 2016

Tips on stock picks and trading strategies for September 7 2016

The technical indicators are signalling a major upmove in the short term with 16 of the 50 stocks comprising the benchmark index nifty hitting their 52 week high.
The immediate support of Nifty is at  8916 with further supports at 8835, 8695 and 8540.
The immediate resistance is at 8980 and then at 9010 and 9075.
The day traders may go long if the Nifty trades above 8915 for a target of 8980. However if it trades below 8905 they may short the index to cover at 8880.
The short term traders may add long positions in Nifty and raise their trailing stop loss to 8830.
The mid term investors may consider selling the non performers i.e. the loss making shares in their portfolio.
DisclaimerThe writers of this column do not personally hold any stock or position in the F&O market and do not intend to benefit in any way by publishing this column. The final discretion is that of the reader and we disown any responsibility for any loss incurred by the reader.

04 September 2016

Indian Markets for the week September 5 2016 to September 9 2016

It may be kept in mind that the Indian Stock markets will remain closed on 5 Sept 2016 and 12 September 2016.
The resistance for the benchmark index Nifty is at 8835 and then at 8858 and 8885. The support is at 8789 and then at 8755, 8724 and 8650. The Nifty is expected to remain bullish if it conquers the resistance of 8835 and it might turn bearish if it breaches the support of 8650.
The day traders may go long if the Nifty trades above 8800 for a target of 8835. They may short the Nifty if it trades below 8789 to cover at 8755.
The short-term traders may ride their long positions with stop loss at 8650.
The mid term investors may consider placing bid for Zee Entertainment at 519.65, Kotak Bank at 802.55, Indusind Bank at 1167.85 and Ambuja Cement at 269.80 and 254.65- all in small quantities.
DisclaimerThe writers of this column do not personally hold any stock or position in the F&O market and do not intend to benefit in any way by publishing this column. The final discretion is that of the reader and we disown any responsibility for any loss incurred by the reader.

01 September 2016

Tips on stock picks and trading strategies for September 2 2016

The Nifty is showing signs of weakness in the short term and rise may be construed as an opportunity to sell. Moreover, the stock markets in India will remain closed on Monday, September 5 2016.
The day traders may go long if the Nifty trades above 8795 for a target of 8810. On the other hand they may short the Nifty if it trades below 8765 to cover at 8730.
The short term traders may exit their long positions in Nifty and staying away for the long weekend.
The mid term investors may consider adding Ambuja Cements at 269.85 and 254.65 in small quantities. 
DisclaimerThe writers of this column do not personally hold any stock or position in the F&O market and do not intend to benefit in any way by publishing this column. The final discretion is that of the reader and we disown any responsibility for any loss incurred by the reader.